I hope the members can hear me okay. I apologise that I cannot be there in person. I doubly apologise if it suddenly goes dark here. I am travelling for work and there were two power cuts in the last hour. If I go dark, that is what has happened. It is not that somebody has come out to get me.
I thank the committee for the opportunity to present. I am an associate professor in economics at Trinity College Dublin with a focus on housing. At the request of the Minister, I served on the Housing Commission from its establishment in late 2021 until its dissolution in mid-2024. I contributed across its terms of reference, in particular acting as chair of the demand working group. During 2023, I also chaired the subcommittee that prepared a minority report on inserting a constitutional amendment on the right to housing in the Irish Constitution. In this opening statement, my aim is to provide a brief overview of the origins of that minority report and its preparation before moving on to the substance of the report with particular regard to systemic solutions to Ireland’s housing crisis.
On the origins, in brief, the minority report on the right to housing arose due to unanswered questions that a number of commissioners had regarding the report prepared by the commission subcommittee working on the constitutional amendment, that is, the majority report. In particular, given that there is no barrier to a healthy housing system in the Constitution as it currently stands provided there is active Government policy in supply and demand supports, a number of commissioners had questions as to the relative merit of the proposed insertion compared to the status quo. There is unambiguously no constitutional barrier to a healthy housing system and no barrier to passing legislation and policies that would lead to and maintain a healthy housing system. This was something where both the minority and majority reports agreed. Page 3 of the majority report states:
In fact, Articles 43.2.1 and 43.2.2 of the Constitution provide considerable scope to the Oireachtas to regulate private property rights in accordance with the principles of social justice and to advance the common good.
In section 1.2 of the minority report, this is discussed in more detail. For example, the section outlines the role of Article 40.5 of the Constitution, which often interpreted solely as a "negative protection" but which has also acted as a "positive protection". A new and explicit right to housing in the Constitution is, therefore, not a necessary ingredient to having a healthy housing system in Ireland. The question on the worth of any proposed amendment is therefore a question as to the costs and benefits of any proposed amendment if inserted into the Constitution.
At a basic level, as the majority report stated, the challenge appears to relate to perception. As it stated, it is “evident that there is a pervasive perception, particularly among government actors and legislators, that the Constitution does in fact present such a barrier”. Those of us who support the minority report have full confidence that, if Members of the Oireachtas are given appropriate legal advice and assured in introducing changes necessary in the law, they would have the courage and determination to do so. However, as written in the minority report, a proposal to hold a referendum to amend the Constitution to correct a “perception” or to clarify or demonstrate commitment to solving the housing crisis is misguided and unjustifiable. In part, this is because there must be some threshold for making constitutional amendments.
Such amendments are costly even in just their administration but can have far-reaching and profound consequences. A key unanswered question for some commissioners arising from the majority report was on the likely legal consequences of the proposed amendment. The lack of an answer prompted significant concern, which ultimately led to the minority report. It is uncertain how courts would interpret the wording proposed in the majority report. Its meaning would only be ascertained on a case-by-case basis as per litigation. Those of us who supported the minority report believe that one of the most important things for a healthy housing system is certainty. Housing policy should be developed by the Oireachtas and not reactively by the courts based on individual cases.
There is no doubt that there are many worthwhile reasons a constitutional referendum might be required but allowing one to take place in order either to correct a perception or to engage in the signalling of values would seem to fail any reasonable bar. As Dr. Conor Casey, who is here today, said in his submission that it would be “constitutionally irresponsible” to pursue a referendum on the right to housing based on nothing more than “an ultimately mistaken political perception” of how Articles 40 and 43 are limiting the Oireachtas’s ability to regulate private property rights.
The second part relates to the preparation of the minority report. A subcommittee of two commissioners, Mr. O'Flynn and me, was formed to prepare a minority report, and I was chair of that subcommittee. Our report was ultimately supported by Dermot O'Leary and submitted to the Minister in November 2023. As I am sure is obvious, neither Mr. O'Flynn nor I has any legal training, so to ensure that our report made a meaningful contribution to delivering the Housing Commission's terms of reference, the subcommittee engaged Peter Kelly, the former President of the High Court, as senior counsel, and Claire Hogan, BL, to provide legal advice. The subcommittee had further support from Philip Lee LLP.
We formed a working group which reported to the subcommittee - in line with the established mode of working within the Housing Commission - which could add further legal expertise and opinion. In forming this group, we aimed for a number of different views, in the belief that difference in perspectives makes for better decision-making. That working group included Noeline Blackwell, then CEO of Dublin Rape Crisis Centre; Mark FitzGerald; Michael McDowell SC; Michael Peart, judge of the Court of Appeal from 2014 to 2019; and Alex White SC.
Moving on to the substance of the minority report, as the joint committee members will know, the majority report proposed a two-part amendment to create a standalone right in what would become Article 40A and place it in the fundamental rights section of the Constitution, similar to the rights to life, equality, liberty, one's good name and freedom of expression, and property rights. Notably, it was not proposed to insert it in Article 45, which contains the "Directive Principles of Social Policy", taken to be for the general guidance of the Oireachtas and "non-justiciable", that is, it is not possible to sue the State in relation to them.
In the view of the minority, the majority's proposal is vague enough that it could create a far-reaching justiciable right that would in turn create significant difficulties for the judicial branch of the Government and at the same time not improve housing outcomes in any material way. In other words, supported by the legal expertise on which we could draw, our conclusion was that the majority's amendment had a high potential cost, arising from the uncertainty of the meaning of the wording, the cost of litigating this and the cost of potential payouts to individuals, and a low level of potential benefit.
In that sense, the proposed amendment did not engage with the housing shortage as a systemic issue. This is in contrast to jurisdictions such as Portugal, where Article 65.2 of its constitution outlines four obligations placed on the state by its "right to housing", including the planning and implementation of a housing policy within the context of wider planning and the promotion of low-cost and social housing, together with local government. The other two elements of the Portuguese article are the stimulation of access to owned and rental housing and of private construction, subject to the "general interest", and supporting local community initiatives.
While such international experience suggests that the judicial branch exercises its power only where there has been a "persistent and systemic failure", to quote from page 6 of the majority report, the majority's proposal seemed instead to create immediately enforceable obligations on the State in respect of individual citizens. In the context of a housing deficit of likely greater than 300,000 homes as of now, based on the commission's own analysis, this element of the majority's proposal would certainly need to be investigated more closely than its report did. Constitutional experts would point to the phrase "protect and vindicate" as implying a clear duty, and not something that the Government, or indeed the courts, could pretend is softened somehow.
Ultimately, it was the minority's view that an individual justiciable right would, therefore, where financial damages are involved, simply have the effect of prioritising some over others and not address the underlying issue. It would effectively give the State the chance to write a cheque and make that day's problem - in other words, that litigant - go away, and no doubt it would do the same the next day. Those who would, so to speak, "win" under the new system would be those with better access to the courts system, and we know that, ultimately, access to the courts becomes easier with more means. There is a real risk, therefore, with the majority's proposal that it would enshrine housing inequality rather than combat it.
It is agreed by both the majority and minority reports that there is no impediment in the current Constitution to addressing Ireland's housing crisis. It is the view of the minority, further, that the majority's proposal carries a real risk of making the crisis worse rather than better. Given the terms of reference given to the commission, which seemed to assume a referendum would take place, the minority report explored in its final section what a systemic solution might look like if placed in the Constitution.
The minority report's proposal actually comes from the list of options in the majority report itself - to place, in Article 45:
... an obligation on the State to draw up a long-term plan on housing, which would be reviewable by the courts, in a manner akin to the Climate Action Plan mandated by section 4 of the Climate Action and Low Carbon Development Act 2015, which was considered by the Supreme Court in Friends of the Irish Environment v The Government of Ireland. This would frame housing as a societal problem that the State is obliged to tackle rather than an individually enforceable right. The emphasis would be on whether the State is adequately meeting its aims, rather than the impact on a particular individual.
As section 3 of the minority report points out, there is no requirement to involve the Constitution in this. The Friends of the Irish Environment litigation demonstrates that a State plan arising from legislation and not from the Constitution - one addressing a systemic crisis - is reviewable by the courts.
Nonetheless, all this is being written after decades in which housing policy has failed, creating an insufficient number of homes, with those that are built disproportionately in the wrong locations and designed for the wrong size of household. Thus, it is not hard to see why it would be appealing to make the Government answerable, specifically on its long-term housing strategy, to an outside agency. While that does not require an amendment to the Constitution, if voters wanted to ensure that a change of government did not bring about a change in legislation and watering down of its accountability to the courts, then an amendment could do that. It was for these reasons that the minority report made the recommendation that it did.
As outlined in the minority report, blaming the Constitution for Ireland's housing woes is looking in the wrong direction. It is trying to fix something that is not broken. The fix proposed in the majority report could make things worse, by giving the Government the opportunity to simply pay off those who make it to the courts, rather than making systemic fixes. There is nothing in the proposed amendment in the majority report that would require the State to address the housing challenge. The housing system is broken because of poor policy, not a poor Constitution. Systemic fixes are needed. The minority report would require the Oireachtas to make those systemic changes and the performance in this regard would be reviewable by the courts. For that reason, the long-term benefit to society rather than the benefit to individuals is, we think, the key difference between the minority and majority reports. I thank the committee for its time and I look forward to Members' questions.