I thank the Chair and the members of the select committee for the opportunity to bring the Supplementary Estimate for Vote 38 before them. I am seeking an additional total for 2024 of €1.754 billion. It comprises €1.749 billion for the HSE's current expenditure and €5 million for capital expenditure. For clarity, while I am seeking the committee's approval for this Supplementary Estimate on a one-off basis, €1.5 billion of this funding is already in the health budget for 2025. This was agreed as part of the summer economic statement in July. I will come to that shortly.
First, I want to outline the main drivers of the Supplementary Estimate. Approximately 60% of it is required for pay costs, excluding pensions. This covers: staffing roles that had previously been provided from temporary Covid funds along with funding for staff hired in excess of funded levels of recruitment; higher agency, over-time and staff allowances due to increased level of demand, especially in acute settings, as well as difficulties in recruiting specialist staff in certain geographic locations; and additional funding for the national pay deal.
During the year, the health sector has experienced significant increases in demand across all areas,
with average volume increases of between 5% and 10% being seen in our hospitals. The increase in demand is driven largely by demographic changes - population growth that has outstripped previous projections, as well as the fact that the number of those aged 65 and over has increased significantly, placing additional demands and costs on the health sector.
The population has increased by an average of 2% every year since 2019. That is an average of 84,000 people annually. This means the cumulative population growth between 2019 and 2024 is in excess of 422,000. One third of this growth has occurred in the part of the population aged over 65, with an additional 132,000 people in this age category since 2019. The number of people in the part of the population aged 75 or over increased by 26% between 2019 and 2024. There are an estimated 367,300 people in this age group, amounting to 7% of the national population.
Another driver of the deficits is the impact of inflation on the health sector. Although this year has seen a moderation in inflation, the increases in previous years are now part of the cost base. This leads to higher costs in providing ongoing services.
Despite these demand and expenditure pressures, I am very happy to report to colleagues that the health service has been able to deliver important improvements for patients this year. In hospitals, the number of patients on trolleys has fallen. It is down 11%, by more than 9,000 people, compared with the same period last year, that is, the first eight months of the year. The number of people aged 75 years and over, who were waiting more than 24 hours in emergency departments, has fallen by 13%, or 1,600. The average outpatient waiting time has continued to fall from a high of 13.1 months in 2021 to the current level of 7.1 months, and it is continuing to fall. That represents a nearly 50% fall in the amount of time people are waiting for their first outpatient appointment. I acknowledge the remarkable reduction that has been achieved by healthcare workers, which will undoubtedly save countless thousands of lives and lead to better health outcomes for many.
Much progress has also been made towards the goal of universal healthcare, including what is envisaged under Sláintecare. This includes: abolishing inpatient hospital charges; rolling out free contraception up to the age of 35; expanding free GP care to another 500,000 people; introducing State-funded IVF; reducing the drug payment threshold per month to €80; and providing free diagnostic access by GPs to hundreds of thousands of people.
In the past four years, as committee members are aware, this Government has delivered record levels of investment in health. We have increased the workforce by nearly 28,000 people. We have increased hospital bed capacity by more than 1,200. We have also built more than 1,000 new and replacement community-based beds. We have continued to roll out the national network of primary care centres. This level of investment is helping the health sector to meet the increasing level of demand. The additional funding requested in the Supplementary Estimate will ensure that the health service has sufficient resources to continue to deliver on these improvements through to the end of this year.
I want to turn now to the agreement I reached with the Minister for Public Expenditure, National Development Plan Delivery and Reform in July on HSE funding. This was published as part of the summer economic statement and included substantial additional funding for the health service. The additional funding is comprised of two parts: there is a permanent increase in funding of €1.5 billion, and a further €1.2 billion for 2025 to maintain existing levels of service. Essentially, that is a €2.7 billion adjustment to the base, to recognise existing levels of service, inflation costs, demographic pressures and the other issues I have outlined.
It was agreed that the Supplementary Estimate for current expenditure would not exceed €1.7 billion for this year. The Supplementary Estimate of €1.7 billion is inclusive of, not additional to, the permanent increase in funding of €1.5 billion for 2025. The reason for the difference between the €1.7 billion, which is the supplementary, and the €1.5 billion, which is the permanent recurring allocation, reflects the fact that following the allocation mid-year, important and stronger cost controls and expenditure limits have been introduced. Given the size of the increase in health investment this year, the tighter budgetary control and the full-year savings impact for 2025, the €1.5 billion figure reflects underlying budgetary pressures that will continue into 2025. That is probably an overly complex way of me saying that the €1.5 billion is the run rate structural adjustment that was needed for this year.
There is an additional approximately €200 million to €250 million, which reflects the fact the run rate and savings in productivity achieved through the year do not apply to the full year. We are satisfied the €1.5 billion accurately reflects the ongoing recurrent cost requirement. While progress is being made on cost containment and productivity, there is a long way to go. Next year must deliver better value for taxpayer money for investment, along with stronger budgetary control, which I am happy to say the chief executive and board are taking seriously and acting on.
We are all aware that during the pandemic significant but temporary additional funding was made available to the health service to respond to Covid. As well as supporting the vaccine programme, it helped fund responses to the wider impact of Covid, for example, tackling the big increases in our waiting lists and the impact on mental health and social inclusion. It supported provision of care away from acute hospitals, where appropriate. I am happy to report that €900 million of the funding has been allocated permanently to health. It did not get much attention when the Minister, Deputy Donohoe, announced the settlement reached earlier this year, but it is a significant benefit to the health service that €900 million of Covid-related funding has been agreed by Government to be put on a permanent basis. That is relevant to a long list of important initiatives in our communities and hospitals, things that are making access quicker for patients and providing new services for patients. That money is being moved from one-off funding to temporary funding. It has been very welcome.
The overall current expenditure allocation of €24.3 billion announced in budget 2025, including the additional permanent funding provided for in July, puts the health service on a sustainable financial footing for the coming years and will provide for continued improvements in services and outcomes for patients. It has secured permanent funding for an additional 4,000 HSE staff. These were previously unfunded in our acute hospitals. This includes 2,000 consultants, doctors and nurses and more than 400 health and social care professionals. It includes high medical inflation experienced immediately post Covid in Ireland and around the world. It includes increases in activity levels experienced by the health service post Covid and it includes the services provided on a one-off basis this year that can now continue - for example, funding to increase activity and reduce waiting lists and times. Critically, in the area for which the Minister of State, Deputy Burke, is responsible, funding for homelessness and various social inclusion services, which we were providing on a post-Covid year-by-year basis, have been transferred to recurrent permanent funding. These are incredibly valuable services which were stood up during Covid but on which we never had agreement for a permanent roll-out. The Minister of State now has allocation to continue those services on a permanent basis and they are making a big difference.
At this point, I will be guided by the Chair. I have detail on the subheads, which I can go through. There is about another five minutes' worth. If the Chair wants, we can revert to members. What would the Chair like to do?